Prediction markets are (also) developer platforms

11 Dec 2025

Last week we announced our investment into Gondor, a company building financial services for prediction market users. In our investment post I wrote about how prediction markets are not just end user destinations, but also developer platforms and I wanted to expand on that. The two leading prediction markets today,...

Gondor

05 Dec 2025

This past year has been a breakout year for prediction markets in which they’ve established themselves as mainstream financial and information markets. And while most of the attention has gone to them as end-user destinations, they’re increasingly becoming developer platforms too. Both Polymarket and Kalshi, the two leading...

Network states

23 Oct 2025

A concept I’ve been thinking a lot about lately is that countries, just like companies, offer products to their users. The product is a place where you can build your life, your family, and your career. It has a set of features: jobs, housing, taxes, weather, cost of living,...

We're not going back

07 Oct 2025

I was recently asked what I think the chances are a future US administration decides to roll back all the pro-crypto legislation that the current administration is crafting. My answer: very low. When the Biden administration decided to launch its assault on the industry, crypto was an isolated atoll. DeFi...

The London crypto sector

29 Sep 2025

London is an underrated crypto hub. I think one of the reasons it doesn’t get the recognition it deserves is because it doesn’t feel like a hub, especially compared to a place like New York. I feel that myself. Whenever I spend time in Soho or Williamsburg, I...